Movemental
Methodology & Exegesis Field Guide

How to Read Your Neighborhood Intelligence Report

A field guide for understanding what the data says, what it cannot say, and what you still have to go and find out for yourself.

Your Neighborhood Intelligence Report assembles data from seventeen or more public sources into a structured reading of a single address and its surrounding census tract. It is comprehensive but not complete. The report is built to be honest about the difference.

This guide walks you through each part of the report, explains the terms and measurements you will encounter, and names the missional questions worth asking once you have read the numbers.

IPart One

The Place & Its Boundaries

What the report is actually measuring

The report is anchored to a specific address but draws its demographic data from a census tract — a geographic unit defined by the US Census Bureau, typically home to 1,200 to 8,000 people. Tracts follow neighborhood contours loosely, not exactly. The tract your address falls in may include streets you think of as a different neighborhood, and may exclude streets you consider part of yours.

The Walk Score, Bike Score, and Transit Score are computed from the address itself based on proximity to destinations within a radius. A Walk Score of 99 means nearly everything a person needs is reachable on foot by distance — but it says nothing about whether sidewalks are safe, whether crossings are timed for people with mobility challenges, or whether someone on a fixed income can afford what is in those nearby shops. Treat these scores as a starting point, not a verdict.

Terms in this section
Census tract

A statistical subdivision of a county containing roughly 1,200–8,000 residents, used by the Census Bureau to report demographic data. Tract boundaries are redrawn after each decennial census; data from before and after a redraw may describe slightly different geographies.

ACS (American Community Survey)

An ongoing Census Bureau survey that produces annual estimates for population, housing, income, education, and more. The 5-year ACS pools five years of survey responses to produce reliable estimates at the tract level — but they are estimates, not counts. Every figure comes with a margin of error that tells you how reliable it is.

Margin of error (±)

A published range indicating statistical uncertainty. A homeownership rate of 16% ±4% means the true value is likely between 12% and 20%. When the margin of error is large relative to the estimate, the number is telling you less than it appears to. "Suppressed" figures are ones the Census withholds because the sample is too small to report reliably.

Missional reading

Before you trust the report’s geography, ask yourself: does the tract boundary match how residents describe their neighborhood? The name a community gives itself — and the name outsiders use — often does not match any administrative line. Your report names the tract, but it cannot tell you what people on those blocks call home.

IIPart Two

Who Lives Here

Reading the demographic data carefully

The demographic table shows estimates for education, age, homeownership, population, poverty, rent, home value, foreign-born share, households with children, zero-vehicle households, and labor force participation. Several of these may be suppressed or carry wide margins of error — this is normal for small tracts and is not a flaw in the report.

Terms in this section
Home ownership rate

The share of occupied housing units where residents own rather than rent. Low ownership (under 20%) generally means the population turns over more frequently, institutional landlords may hold significant power, and residents may have less investment in long-term neighborhood decisions. It does not mean residents do not care about where they live.

Residential mobility

The percentage of residents who moved into their unit within the past year or few years. High mobility (above 30–40%) means the social fabric is constantly being rewoven. Long-term relationships are harder to form and sustain. For missional presence, this changes the strategy significantly: you are not just meeting neighbors; you are meeting neighbors who may be gone in two years.

Zero-vehicle households

The share of households with no car. In urban areas, this can reflect both choice (people who prefer transit) and constraint (people who cannot afford a car). Combined with the Transit Score and disability estimates, it helps you understand whether nearby assets are actually reachable for residents who need them most.

Households with children

A very low figure here (under 5%) does not mean no children live in the neighborhood — it means the data sample is too small to report reliably, or that the tract genuinely skews toward single adults and couples. Either way, it shapes which entry points into community life make sense.

A suppressed figure is a finding. When the report shows a blank or withheld value, it is not missing data — it is the system telling you it cannot stand behind a precise number.
Missional reading

Who is conspicuously absent from these numbers? A tract with 2.5% households-with-children and 44% residential mobility is telling you that very few long-rooted families live here and that many people around you are in a transitional season of life. Presence, hospitality, and belonging may matter more here than programs designed for stable, long-term residents.

IIIPart Three

The Story & History of the Block

Reading older evidence

This section draws on historical datasets that may be fifty years old or more. They describe the block’s past — not its present — but the past is never entirely past in a neighborhood.

Terms in this section
HOLC grade

In the 1930s, the Home Owners’ Loan Corporation graded American neighborhoods A through D to guide federal mortgage lending. "Redlined" neighborhoods — typically those with significant Black, immigrant, or working-class populations — were graded C or D, making it nearly impossible for residents to obtain federally backed mortgages. A grade of "Commercial" means the parcel was a commercial block and received no residential grade. These maps shaped neighborhood wealth trajectories for decades.

LTDB (Longitudinal Tract Database)

A Brown University dataset that standardizes historical census data to modern tract boundaries, allowing comparison across decades. The racial composition figures (e.g., 99.8% White in 1970 → 78.2% White in 2020) describe long-term demographic change. The causes of that change — gentrification, white flight, urban renewal, or organic migration — are not established by the numbers alone.

The Green Book

The Negro Motorist Green Book (1936–1966) listed hotels, restaurants, and businesses safe for Black travelers during segregation. Its absence from a neighborhood’s record may mean no such business existed nearby — or that records were not indexed for that area. It is a gap in the archive, not proof of absence.

Missional reading

What forces shaped this block before you arrived? A block that was exclusively White in 1970 and is now more racially mixed has a story behind that change — and residents who lived through it may carry wounds, hopes, or deep ambivalence about who "belongs." The data can mark that a change happened. Only listening can tell you what it meant to those who experienced it.

IVPart Four

Risk, Cost & Mobility

What housing pressure actually looks like
Terms in this section
HUD Location Affordability Index (LAI)

A federal model that estimates the combined cost of housing plus transportation as a percentage of income. A figure above 45% is considered cost-burdened by federal standards. When this figure is 53% or higher, residents are spending more than half their income simply getting to work and keeping a roof overhead — leaving very little margin for anything else. This is a modeled estimate, not a direct measurement.

FEMA Risk Index

A relative composite score for natural hazard risk (flood, hurricane, tornado, earthquake, etc.). "Relatively Low" means this tract scores below most of the country on the combined index — not that it faces no risk. In coastal states, "relatively low" risk still means more exposure than the national average in many categories.

Eviction Lab

Princeton’s Eviction Lab tracks eviction filings at the tract level. These figures are often from 2017–2018 and reflect a larger, differently bounded tract. They document an earlier pattern of housing instability — patterns of eviction rarely reverse quickly, but they cannot be read as a current-condition measure.

USDA food access (LILA)

The USDA categorizes tracts as "low income and low access" based on income thresholds and distance to a supermarket. "Not low income, not low access" means the tract meets neither threshold — but nearby groceries may still be unaffordable for some residents, and urban distance thresholds assume closer proximity than rural ones.

Missional reading

High combined housing-and-transportation cost is one of the most consistent predictors of social fragility. Families spending over half their income on shelter and commuting have very little margin for illness, job loss, or unexpected expenses. If the report shows housing pressure, ask: what does it cost, practically and emotionally, to simply stay in this neighborhood?

VPart Five

Community Life & Institutions

The congregational landscape

The report lists congregations within two miles of your address, drawn from a Google Places radius search. This is not a complete inventory — it captures places with a web presence and a registered location. Small house churches, informal faith communities, and non-English-speaking congregations are routinely missed.

Terms in this section
Religious adherence rate (ARDA)

Reported as a county-level figure from the US Religion Census. It measures the share of the county population who are members of a religious congregation — not the share who attend, believe, or consider themselves spiritual. A 49% adherence rate means roughly half the county is on a church roll; it says nothing about practice, commitment, or spiritual openness.

Estimated non-adherent

The county population minus adherents. This is not a measure of spiritual need or hunger — it is a rough proxy for how many people in the county are not currently connected to a congregation. Many in this group will identify as spiritual but not religious, formerly churched, or simply unaffiliated.

Nonprofit ecosystem (ZIP-level)

The count of IRS-registered nonprofits in the ZIP code — which typically spans a much larger area than the census tract. These organizations may or may not serve the tract specifically. They represent existing care infrastructure worth knowing and, potentially, worth partnering with.

Missional reading

The congregations listed are an existing care structure, not just a list of worship addresses. Before starting anything new in a neighborhood, the report is asking you to first walk into what is already there. The question is not "what does this neighborhood need?" but "who is already here, and how do I join what God is already doing?"

VIPart Six

Health & Belonging

What the CDC data is and is not saying

The health data comes from CDC PLACES, a model that estimates tract-level health outcomes by combining survey data, demographic data, and spatial modeling. These are modeled estimates, not direct measurements of residents in your specific tract. Each figure comes with a confidence interval labeled "TIGHT" (more reliable) or "LOOSE" (wider uncertainty).

Terms in this section
CDC PLACES

A CDC program producing small-area health estimates for every US census tract, derived from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS). Because no survey covers every tract directly, the model uses neighboring tracts, demographic predictors, and spatial smoothing. Results labeled "TIGHT" have a narrow confidence interval; "LOOSE" results are less certain.

Social Vulnerability Index (SVI)

Published by the CDC/ATSDR, the SVI ranks tracts on four themes: socioeconomic status, household characteristics, racial and ethnic minority status, and housing type and transportation. Percentile rankings go from 0 to 100; higher means more vulnerable. A 96th percentile score on housing and transportation means this tract faces more vulnerability on those dimensions than 96% of US tracts.

Frequent mental distress / depression estimates

These figures estimate the share of adults who reported 14 or more days of poor mental health in the past month, or who reported a doctor’s diagnosis of depression. In neighborhoods with high mobility, housing pressure, and limited social infrastructure, mental health burdens are often compounded by isolation.

Any disability among adults

The share of adults reporting any disability — cognitive, hearing, vision, mobility, self-care, or independent living. A figure of 31% means roughly one in three adults lives with some form of disability. Combined with Walk Score and grocery proximity, this tells you whether the neighborhood’s walkability actually reaches the people who need it most.

Missional reading

High rates of frequent mental distress are not a ministry opportunity to be managed — they are a description of suffering in your midst. In a highly mobile, renter-majority neighborhood, loneliness can be invisible because everyone looks busy. The question to carry into the neighborhood is not "who looks like they’re struggling?" but "who has no one to call?"

VIIPart Seven

What Neighbors Say

The qualitative evidence and why it matters

The testimony section draws on Reddit threads, neighborhood guides, review platforms, and local media. This is the most uncertain evidence in the report — and also the most alive. It is how the neighborhood talks about itself.

Read it with appropriate skepticism: online reviewers skew toward people with smartphones, leisure time, and strong opinions. They over-represent visitors and recent arrivals, and under-represent long-term residents, people without internet access, and people whose experience of the neighborhood is primarily about survival, not lifestyle.

The absence of mutual aid networks in public records does not mean no mutual aid exists. Informal networks of care — neighbors trading childcare, food, money, and labor — are the invisible infrastructure of working-class and immigrant communities. They rarely appear in indexed public records because they were never designed to.
Missional reading

The neighborhood’s self-description is a gift. Pay attention to what it celebrates, what it worries about, and — most importantly — what it does not mention. A neighborhood described entirely through restaurants, murals, and nightlife may have a significant population whose daily life looks nothing like that narrative. The "recurring concerns" section often contains the most honest data in this part of the report.

VIIIPart Eight

Civic Life

What the absence of a neighborhood association means

The report searches for a formal neighborhood association and an adopted city area plan. When neither is found, it does not mean residents have no civic life — it means that life is not indexed in public records.

Formal neighborhood associations tend to form in homeowner-majority neighborhoods where residents have both the time and the long-term investment to organize. In renter-majority, high-mobility neighborhoods, civic self-governance often takes other forms: building tenant groups, informal block relationships, religious congregation networks, or cultural organizations.

Missional reading

The absence of a named neighborhood body is not emptiness — it is an invitation to ask who actually holds the social fabric together. In neighborhoods without formal civic structure, the anchor institutions are often a congregation, a longtime business owner, or an informal leader whose name will not appear in any database. Finding them requires showing up, not searching.

IXPart Nine

Questions Worth Carrying

How to use the field checks

The "Questions Worth Carrying" section lists specific physical tasks: walk a particular route, sit in a park at a specific time, visit a food pantry, trace an accessibility loop. These are not suggestions — they are the heart of the report. Every field check is designed to verify or complicate something the data said.

The Six Evidentiary Weights
Documented

A named record exists and can be verified directly.

Measured — tight

A narrow margin of error; the estimate is relatively reliable.

Measured — loose

A wide margin of error; the estimate points in a direction but the precise number is uncertain.

Modeled / suppressed

Predicted from other data, or withheld because the sample is too small to report.

Testimony

What people said about the place. Closest to lived experience; hardest to generalize.

Absence

The data went looking and did not find it — a finding, not a blank cell.

Missional reading

The field checks are a structured form of neighborhood exegesis — reading the neighborhood the way you would read a text, with attention to what is present, what is absent, and what is in tension. Do not skip them. Print the list and take it with you on a prayer walk. Let each check become a question you carry into the neighborhood and hold in prayer.

XPart Ten

What We Could Not Find

Reading the gaps

The final data section lists things the report went looking for and did not find, with a reason for each gap. This section is as important as any data the report contains.

A figure that is suppressed is one the Census Bureau collected but will not release at the tract level because the sample is too small. A figure that is absent is one the report’s sources did not cover. A figure that is stale is from a dataset that has not been updated recently.

Suppressed does not mean zero. An unemployment rate withheld to a 0%–2.6% range is not the same as 0% unemployment. A blank in the poverty row is not the same as no poverty. When the report cannot tell you something, it cannot tell you the opposite, either.
Missional reading

The gaps in the data are an invitation to humility. You now know more about this neighborhood than you did before — and you also know, precisely, where your knowledge runs out. The appropriate posture at the edge of what the data can tell you is not assumption but curiosity. What would you have to do, and who would you have to meet, to fill those gaps with something true?

Incarnational Posture

The Report Is a Beginning

A Neighborhood Intelligence Report is a reading of a place from the outside — assembled from surveys, models, archives, and web data. It can describe a neighborhood's shape, its burdens, its institutions, and its history. It cannot tell you what it feels like to live there, who holds the trust of the block, or what God is already doing in that place.

The people who know those things live there. The work of missional presence is to become someone they want to tell.
Five Questions to Carry on Foot
What surprised you most in the report — and what do you think explains it?
What did the data confirm that you already sensed about this neighborhood?
Which field check feels most important to do first — and why?
Who in this neighborhood has been here long enough to remember what you cannot find in any database?
What would it mean to be genuinely present in this place for five years?
Movemental · Neighborhood IntelligenceField Guide for Practitioners